1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.13
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sassuolo an expected 1.1 goals and Lazio an expected 1.1 goals. Sassuolo have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Lazio at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
1:0
12.3%
0:1
11.8%
0:0
10.9%
2:1
7.6%
1:2
7.2%
2:0
7%
0:2
6.4%
2:2
4.1%
3:1
2.9%
3:0
2.6%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sassuolo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Sassuolo | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 9 |
| 49 | Points | 54 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Sassuolo at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Lazio Away
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sassuolo
L
W
W
Lazio
W
W
W
W
