1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Parma an expected 1.1 goals and Torino an expected 1.1 goals. Parma have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Torino at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.5%
1:0
12.6%
0:1
12.4%
0:0
11.6%
2:1
7.3%
1:2
7.2%
2:0
6.8%
0:2
6.6%
2:2
3.9%
3:1
2.7%
1:3
2.6%
3:0
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Parma Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| Parma | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 12 |
| 45 | Points | 45 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.66 |
Venue Form
Parma at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Torino Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Parma
W
D
L
W
Torino
W
L
D
W
