1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.86
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Parma an expected 0.9 goals and Sassuolo an expected 1.1 goals. Parma have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Sassuolo at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.4%
0:0
13.8%
1:1
13.3%
1:0
11.9%
0:2
8.6%
1:2
7.4%
2:1
5.7%
2:0
5.1%
0:3
3.2%
2:2
3.2%
1:3
2.8%
3:1
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sassuolo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Parma | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 11 |
| 45 | Points | 49 |
| 29% | Win % | 37% |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Parma at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Sassuolo Away
W0
D2
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Parma
W
D
L
W
Sassuolo
L
L
D
L
D
Head to Head
Sassuolo
1 : 1
Parma
D
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
L
Parma
0 : 3
Sassuolo
W
