1
31%
Home Win
3.24
X
32%
Draw
3.13
2
37%
Away Win
2.69
xG Home
0.88
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Parma an expected 0.9 goals and Genoa an expected 1.0 goals. Parma have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Genoa at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
15.3%
0:1
15.3%
1:0
13.5%
1:1
13.4%
0:2
7.6%
1:2
6.7%
2:0
5.9%
2:1
5.9%
2:2
2.9%
0:3
2.5%
1:3
2.2%
3:0
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Genoa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Parma | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 16 |
| 45 | Points | 41 |
| 29% | Win % | 26% |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Parma at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Genoa Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Parma
D
L
W
Genoa
D
D
W
