1
32%
Home Win
3.08
X
32%
Draw
3.13
2
36%
Away Win
2.81
xG Home
0.91
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Parma an expected 0.9 goals and Cagliari an expected 1.0 goals. Parma have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Cagliari at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
15.1%
0:1
14.7%
1:0
13.9%
1:1
13.5%
0:2
7.2%
1:2
6.6%
2:0
6.3%
2:1
6.2%
2:2
3%
0:3
2.3%
1:3
2.1%
3:0
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cagliari Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 36% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.78 |
| Market Odds | 2.96 |
Team Comparison
| Parma | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 14 |
| 45 | Points | 43 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Parma at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Cagliari Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Parma
L
W
Cagliari
D
