1
14%
Home Win
7.26
X
27%
Draw
3.72
2
59%
Away Win
1.69
xG Home
0.54
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Parma an expected 0.5 goals and AS Roma an expected 1.4 goals. Parma have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and AS Roma at 59%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
20%
0:2
14.4%
0:0
14%
1:1
10.7%
1:2
7.7%
1:0
7.5%
0:3
6.9%
1:3
3.7%
2:1
2.9%
0:4
2.5%
2:2
2.1%
2:0
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AS Roma Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Parma | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 3 |
| 45 | Points | 73 |
| 29% | Win % | 61% |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Parma at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
AS Roma Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Parma
D
L
W
AS Roma
W
W
D
