1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.55
xG Away
1.67
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris FC an expected 1.6 goals and Rennes FC an expected 1.7 goals. Paris FC have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Rennes FC at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
8%
2:2
6.7%
0:1
6.7%
1:0
6.2%
0:2
5.6%
1:3
4.8%
2:0
4.8%
3:1
4.1%
0:0
4%
2:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rennes FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Paris FC | Rennes FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 6 |
| 44 | Points | 59 |
| 32% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Paris FC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Rennes FC Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Paris FC
W
L
Rennes FC
W
L
W
L
