1
31%
Home Win
3.18
X
25%
Draw
3.95
2
43%
Away Win
2.31
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.51
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris FC an expected 1.2 goals and Lyon an expected 1.5 goals. Paris FC have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Lyon at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
0:1
9.6%
1:2
9%
1:0
8%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7.2%
0:0
6.4%
2:2
5.6%
2:0
5%
1:3
4.5%
0:3
3.6%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lyon Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Paris FC | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 4 |
| 44 | Points | 60 |
| 32% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Paris FC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Lyon Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Paris FC
W
L
Lyon
L
W
L
