1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.95
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris Saint Germain an expected 2.0 goals and Lyon an expected 0.9 goals. Paris Saint Germain have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Lyon at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11.6%
2:0
11.3%
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
7.4%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
5.9%
0:1
5.2%
1:2
4.4%
2:2
4.3%
4:0
3.6%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Paris Saint Germain | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 76 | Points | 60 |
| 71% | Win % | 53% |
| 2.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Paris Saint Germain at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Lyon Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain
W
D
W
L
Lyon
L
W
L
