1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pachuca an expected 1.2 goals and Cruz Azul an expected 1.4 goals. Pachuca have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Cruz Azul at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
0:1
10.2%
1:0
9.1%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
7.7%
0:0
7.4%
0:2
7%
2:0
5.6%
2:2
5.3%
1:3
4%
0:3
3.2%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Pachuca | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 31 | Points | 33 |
| 53% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Pachuca at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Cruz Azul Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Pachuca
D
L
W
W
L
Cruz Azul
L
W
W
D
