1
54%
Home Win
1.85
X
24%
Draw
4.19
2
22%
Away Win
4.55
xG Home
1.72
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Orlando City an expected 1.7 goals and Toronto FC an expected 1.0 goals. Orlando City have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Toronto FC at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.4%
1:0
11.3%
2:1
9.7%
2:0
9.7%
0:1
6.6%
0:0
6.6%
1:2
5.7%
3:1
5.6%
3:0
5.6%
2:2
4.9%
0:2
3.3%
3:2
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Orlando City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Orlando City | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 12 |
| 53 | Points | 32 |
| 41% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Orlando City at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Orlando City
W
L
W
