1
36%
Home Win
2.77
X
18%
Draw
5.42
2
45%
Away Win
2.21
xG Home
2.31
xG Away
2.58
Over 2.5 Goals
86%
BTTS
83%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chicago Fire an expected 2.3 goals and Inter Miami an expected 2.6 goals. Chicago Fire have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Inter Miami at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 86%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:2
6.7%
1:2
5.8%
2:3
5.7%
2:1
5.2%
3:2
5.2%
1:3
5%
1:1
4.5%
3:3
4.4%
3:1
4%
2:4
3.7%
1:4
3.2%
4:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Miami Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Chicago Fire | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 3 |
| 53 | Points | 65 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.38 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Chicago Fire at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Inter Miami Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Chicago Fire
L
L
W
Inter Miami
W
W
W
