1
50%
Home Win
1.99
X
25%
Draw
3.97
2
25%
Away Win
4.05
xG Home
1.58
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives New York City FC an expected 1.6 goals and New England Revolution an expected 1.0 goals. New York City FC have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and New England Revolution at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
11.7%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
9.2%
0:1
7.6%
0:0
7.4%
1:2
6.2%
3:1
5%
2:2
4.9%
3:0
4.8%
0:2
3.9%
3:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | New York City FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| New York City FC | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 11 |
| 56 | Points | 36 |
| 50% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
New York City FC at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
New England Revolution Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
New York City FC
L
D
L
New England Revolution
L
D
W
W
