1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Houston Dynamo an expected 1.3 goals and Real Salt Lake an expected 1.1 goals. Houston Dynamo have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Real Salt Lake at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
11.2%
0:1
9.7%
0:0
8.5%
2:1
8.5%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
7.3%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
4.9%
3:1
3.7%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Houston Dynamo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Houston Dynamo | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 9 |
| 37 | Points | 41 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Houston Dynamo at Home
W3
D2
L2
(7 games)
Real Salt Lake Away
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
Recent Form
Houston Dynamo
D
L
D
W
W
Real Salt Lake
L
L
L
L
W
