1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Austin an expected 1.3 goals and Colorado Rapids an expected 1.1 goals. Austin have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Colorado Rapids at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
12.2%
0:1
10%
0:0
9.4%
2:1
8.5%
2:0
7.9%
1:2
6.9%
0:2
5.3%
2:2
4.5%
3:1
3.7%
3:0
3.4%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Austin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Austin | Colorado Rapids | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 11 |
| 47 | Points | 41 |
| 38% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
Austin at Home
W2
D3
L1
(6 games)
Colorado Rapids Away
W1
D2
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Austin
D
D
D
W
W
Colorado Rapids
L
D
W
L
L