Austin vs Colorado Rapids Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 10 Sep 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.30
xG Away 1.06
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 48%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Austin an expected 1.3 goals and Colorado Rapids an expected 1.1 goals. Austin have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Colorado Rapids at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13%
1:0 12.2%
0:1 10%
0:0 9.4%
2:1 8.5%
2:0 7.9%
1:2 6.9%
0:2 5.3%
2:2 4.5%
3:1 3.7%
3:0 3.4%
1:3 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Austin Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38
Market Odds 2.53

Team Comparison

Austin Colorado Rapids
6 League Position 11
47 Points 41
38% Win % 32%
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65

Venue Form

Austin at Home
W2 D3 L1 (6 games)
33% win rate
Colorado Rapids Away
W1 D2 L3 (6 games)
17% win rate

Recent Form

Austin
D D D W W
Colorado Rapids
L D W L L