1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.93
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Minnesota United an expected 1.9 goals and FC Dallas an expected 1.1 goals. Minnesota United have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and FC Dallas at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.4%
2:0
9.1%
3:1
6.4%
3:0
5.9%
1:2
5.6%
2:2
5.4%
0:1
5.3%
0:0
4.9%
3:2
3.5%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Minnesota United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Minnesota United | FC Dallas | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 7 |
| 58 | Points | 44 |
| 47% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Minnesota United at Home
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
FC Dallas Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Minnesota United
L
L
L
L
W
FC Dallas
W
W
L
W
