1
44%
Home Win
2.28
X
26%
Draw
3.86
2
30%
Away Win
3.32
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nottingham Forest an expected 1.5 goals and Leeds an expected 1.2 goals. Nottingham Forest have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Leeds at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.4%
2:0
7.7%
0:0
7.2%
1:2
7.2%
2:2
5.2%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
3.8%
1:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nottingham Forest Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Nottingham Forest | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 14 |
| 44 | Points | 47 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Nottingham Forest at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Leeds Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Nottingham Forest
D
W
Leeds
D
D