1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.70
xG Away
1.69
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nottingham Forest an expected 0.7 goals and Arsenal an expected 1.7 goals. Nottingham Forest have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Arsenal at 61%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.4%
0:2
13%
1:1
10.9%
1:2
9.2%
0:0
9.1%
0:3
7.3%
1:0
6.4%
1:3
5.2%
2:1
3.8%
2:2
3.2%
0:4
3.1%
2:0
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Arsenal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 1 |
| 44 | Points | 85 |
| 29% | Win % | 68% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.87 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
Nottingham Forest at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Arsenal Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Nottingham Forest
L
D
D
W
Arsenal
L
W
W
L
