Nice vs Saint-Étienne Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 29 May 2026 · Ligue 1
Saint-Étienne Saint-Étienne
1 46%
Home Win 2.16
X 26%
Draw 3.92
2 28%
Away Win 3.55
xG Home 1.52
xG Away 1.13
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Nice an expected 1.5 goals and Saint-Étienne an expected 1.1 goals. Nice have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Saint-Étienne at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.7%
2:1 9.2%
2:0 8.2%
0:1 8%
0:0 7.1%
1:2 6.8%
2:2 5.2%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 2.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Nice Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Nice at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
Saint-Étienne Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Nice
D D
Saint-Étienne
L

Head to Head

26 May 2026 Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 0 : 0 Nice
D
21 Dec 2025 Coupe de France
Nice 2 : 1 Saint Etienne
L
01 Mar 2025 Ligue 1
Saint Etienne 1 : 3 Nice
W