1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.93
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Necaxa an expected 0.9 goals and Atlas an expected 0.9 goals. Necaxa have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Atlas at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
15.4%
0:1
14.4%
1:0
14.4%
1:1
13.5%
0:2
6.8%
2:0
6.7%
1:2
6.3%
2:1
6.3%
2:2
2.9%
0:3
2.1%
3:0
2.1%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Necaxa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 34% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.94 |
| Market Odds | 3.13 |
Team Comparison
| Necaxa | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 6 |
| 18 | Points | 26 |
| 29% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Necaxa at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Atlas Away
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Necaxa
L
L
D
D
Atlas
W
W
L
W
W