Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction

0 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.93
xG Away 0.94
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 37%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Necaxa an expected 0.9 goals and Atlas an expected 0.9 goals. Necaxa have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Atlas at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:0 15.4%
0:1 14.4%
1:0 14.4%
1:1 13.5%
0:2 6.8%
2:0 6.7%
1:2 6.3%
2:1 6.3%
2:2 2.9%
0:3 2.1%
3:0 2.1%
1:3 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Necaxa Win
Probability 34%
Predicted Odds 2.94
Market Odds 3.13

Team Comparison

Necaxa Atlas
15 League Position 6
18 Points 26
29% Win % 41%
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

Necaxa at Home
W0 D2 L2 (4 games)
0% win rate
Atlas Away
W4 D0 L1 (5 games)
80% win rate

Recent Form

Necaxa
L L D D
Atlas
W W L W W