1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.85
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NEC Nijmegen an expected 2.9 goals and Fortuna Sittard an expected 1.3 goals. NEC Nijmegen have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Fortuna Sittard at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.3%
3:1
7.9%
2:0
6.3%
3:0
6%
1:1
5.8%
4:1
5.6%
2:2
5.4%
3:2
5.2%
1:0
4.4%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
3.8%
4:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NEC Nijmegen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 69% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.45 |
| Market Odds | 1.54 |
Team Comparison
| NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 11 |
| 59 | Points | 39 |
| 47% | Win % | 32% |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
NEC Nijmegen at Home
W0
D4
L0
(4 games)
Fortuna Sittard Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen
D
D
D
D
Fortuna Sittard
W
L
L
