1
42%
Home Win
2.39
X
21%
Draw
4.75
2
37%
Away Win
2.7
xG Home
1.99
xG Away
1.87
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
73%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NEC Nijmegen an expected 2.0 goals and Feyenoord an expected 1.9 goals. NEC Nijmegen have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Feyenoord at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
7.8%
2:1
7.8%
1:2
7.3%
2:2
7.3%
3:1
5.2%
3:2
4.8%
1:3
4.6%
2:3
4.5%
1:0
4.2%
2:0
4.2%
0:1
3.9%
0:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | NEC Nijmegen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| NEC Nijmegen | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 59 | Points | 65 |
| 47% | Win % | 56% |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
NEC Nijmegen at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Feyenoord Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
NEC Nijmegen
D
Feyenoord
W
