1
31%
Home Win
3.24
X
28%
Draw
3.52
2
41%
Away Win
2.45
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Napoli an expected 1.0 goals and Como an expected 1.2 goals. Napoli have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Como at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
0:1
12.7%
1:0
10.7%
0:0
10.3%
1:2
8.2%
0:2
7.9%
2:1
6.8%
2:0
5.5%
2:2
4.2%
1:3
3.4%
0:3
3.2%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Como Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Napoli | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 76 | Points | 71 |
| 61% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
Venue Form
Napoli at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Como Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Napoli
L
W
L
Como
W
W
