1
40%
Home Win
2.53
X
29%
Draw
3.45
2
31%
Away Win
3.18
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
1.02
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nagoya Grampus an expected 1.2 goals and Fagiano Okayama an expected 1.0 goals. Nagoya Grampus have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Fagiano Okayama at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
1:0
13.1%
0:1
11.3%
0:0
11.1%
2:1
7.9%
2:0
7.7%
1:2
6.8%
0:2
5.8%
2:2
4%
3:1
3.1%
3:0
3%
1:3
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nagoya Grampus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Nagoya Grampus | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 13 |
| 43 | Points | 45 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Nagoya Grampus at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Fagiano Okayama Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Nagoya Grampus
D
W
W
Fagiano Okayama
W
W
L
