1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.71
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rio Ave FC an expected 0.7 goals and Famalicao an expected 1.4 goals. Rio Ave FC have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Famalicao at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.9%
0:2
12.1%
1:1
11.9%
0:0
11.8%
1:2
8.5%
1:0
8.3%
0:3
5.7%
2:1
4.2%
1:3
4.1%
2:2
3%
2:0
3%
0:4
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Famalicao Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Rio Ave FC | Famalicao | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 5 |
| 36 | Points | 56 |
| 24% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Rio Ave FC at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Famalicao Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Rio Ave FC
D
L
D
L
Famalicao
D
W
D
