1
25%
Home Win
4.02
X
24%
Draw
4.11
2
51%
Away Win
1.97
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.67
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives NAC Breda an expected 1.1 goals and Heerenveen an expected 1.7 goals. NAC Breda have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Heerenveen at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
0:1
10.6%
1:2
9.6%
0:2
8.8%
1:0
6.9%
0:0
6.3%
2:1
6.3%
1:3
5.3%
2:2
5.2%
0:3
4.9%
2:0
3.8%
2:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heerenveen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| NAC Breda | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 8 |
| 29 | Points | 51 |
| 18% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
Venue Form
NAC Breda at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Heerenveen Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
NAC Breda
W
L
Heerenveen
L
L
W
Head to Head
NAC Breda
2 : 0
Heerenveen
W
Heerenveen
3 : 3
NAC Breda
D
NAC Breda
2 : 4
Heerenveen
L
