Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 23 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.19
xG Away 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
BTTS 52%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Motor Lublin an expected 1.2 goals and Zaglebie Lubin an expected 1.4 goals. Motor Lublin have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Zaglebie Lubin at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.5%
0:1 10.5%
1:0 9%
1:2 8.7%
0:0 7.5%
2:1 7.5%
0:2 7.3%
2:0 5.3%
2:2 5.2%
1:3 4.1%
0:3 3.4%
3:1 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Motor Lublin Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Motor Lublin Zaglebie Lubin
12 League Position 7
43 Points 48
29% Win % 38%
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Motor Lublin at Home
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate
Zaglebie Lubin Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Motor Lublin
L L L
Zaglebie Lubin
W D W

Head to Head

20 Mar 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin 1 : 0 Zaglebie Lubin
L
21 Sep 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie Lubin 2 : 2 Motor Lublin
D
18 May 2025 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin 1 : 0 Zaglebie Lubin
L