1
33%
Home Win
3.03
X
27%
Draw
3.68
2
40%
Away Win
2.51
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motor Lublin an expected 1.2 goals and Legia Warszawa an expected 1.3 goals. Motor Lublin have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Legia Warszawa at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
11.1%
1:0
9.9%
0:0
8.5%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7.2%
2:0
5.7%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.6%
0:3
3.1%
3:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Legia Warszawa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Motor Lublin | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 6 |
| 43 | Points | 49 |
| 29% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Motor Lublin at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Legia Warszawa Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Motor Lublin
L
L
L
Legia Warszawa
W
W
L
W
