1
35%
Home Win
2.83
X
30%
Draw
3.34
2
35%
Away Win
2.88
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motherwell an expected 1.1 goals and Heart of Midlothian an expected 1.0 goals. Motherwell have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Heart of Midlothian at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.5%
1:0
12.9%
0:1
12.8%
0:0
12.2%
2:1
7.1%
1:2
7.1%
2:0
6.8%
0:2
6.7%
2:2
3.7%
3:1
2.5%
1:3
2.5%
3:0
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motherwell Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Motherwell | Heart of Midlothian | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 54 | Points | 70 |
| 42% | Win % | 64% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Motherwell at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Heart of Midlothian Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Motherwell
L
D
W
Heart of Midlothian
D
W