1
61%
Home Win
1.64
X
23%
Draw
4.43
2
16%
Away Win
6.11
xG Home
1.81
xG Away
0.81
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motherwell an expected 1.8 goals and Falkirk an expected 0.8 goals. Motherwell have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Falkirk at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.2%
2:0
11.9%
1:1
10.7%
2:1
9.7%
0:0
7.3%
3:0
7.2%
0:1
5.9%
3:1
5.8%
1:2
4.3%
2:2
3.9%
4:0
3.2%
4:1
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motherwell Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Motherwell | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 54 | Points | 46 |
| 42% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Motherwell at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Falkirk Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Motherwell
L
D
W
Falkirk
L
L
