1
66%
Home Win
1.52
X
20%
Draw
4.96
2
14%
Away Win
7.16
xG Home
2.03
xG Away
0.81
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motherwell an expected 2.0 goals and Dundee Utd an expected 0.8 goals. Motherwell have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Dundee Utd at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12%
1:0
11.8%
2:1
9.8%
1:1
9.6%
3:0
8.2%
3:1
6.6%
0:0
5.8%
0:1
4.7%
4:0
4.1%
2:2
4%
1:2
3.9%
4:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motherwell Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Motherwell | Dundee Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 7 |
| 54 | Points | 40 |
| 42% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
Venue Form
Motherwell at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Dundee Utd Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Motherwell
L
D
W
Dundee Utd
L
L
