1
42%
Home Win
2.36
X
28%
Draw
3.64
2
30%
Away Win
3.33
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motherwell an expected 1.3 goals and Celtic an expected 1.1 goals. Motherwell have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Celtic at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
12.2%
0:1
9.8%
0:0
9.2%
2:1
8.5%
2:0
8%
1:2
6.9%
0:2
5.2%
2:2
4.5%
3:1
3.8%
3:0
3.5%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motherwell Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Motherwell | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 54 | Points | 67 |
| 42% | Win % | 64% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Motherwell at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Celtic Away
W5
D0
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Motherwell
L
D
W
Celtic
W
W
W
W
W