1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.81
xG Away
0.59
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Motherwell an expected 1.8 goals and Aberdeen an expected 0.6 goals. Motherwell have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Aberdeen at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.4%
2:0
14.8%
1:1
9.7%
0:0
9%
3:0
8.9%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
5.4%
3:1
5.3%
4:0
4%
1:2
2.9%
2:2
2.6%
4:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motherwell Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Motherwell | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 8 |
| 54 | Points | 33 |
| 42% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Motherwell at Home
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Aberdeen Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Motherwell
L
L
L
D
W
Aberdeen
L
D
W
D
