1
60%
Home Win
1.68
X
23%
Draw
4.26
2
17%
Away Win
5.94
xG Home
1.73
xG Away
0.79
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Moreirense an expected 1.7 goals and AVS an expected 0.8 goals. Moreirense have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and AVS at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.9%
2:0
12%
1:1
11%
2:1
9.5%
0:0
8.1%
3:0
6.9%
0:1
6.4%
3:1
5.5%
1:2
4.3%
2:2
3.8%
4:0
3%
0:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Moreirense Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Moreirense | AVS | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 18 |
| 43 | Points | 21 |
| 35% | Win % | 9% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
Moreirense at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
AVS Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Moreirense
L
W
W
AVS
W
