1
63%
Home Win
1.58
X
19%
Draw
5.23
2
18%
Away Win
5.71
xG Home
2.28
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monterrey an expected 2.3 goals and Santos Laguna an expected 1.1 goals. Monterrey have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Santos Laguna at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.7%
2:0
8.6%
1:1
8.5%
1:0
7.6%
3:1
7.4%
3:0
6.6%
2:2
5.5%
1:2
4.8%
4:1
4.2%
3:2
4.1%
4:0
3.8%
0:1
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monterrey Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Monterrey | Santos Laguna | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 18 |
| 18 | Points | 12 |
| 29% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.24 |
Venue Form
Monterrey at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Santos Laguna Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Monterrey
W
W
L
W
Santos Laguna
L
L
L
Head to Head
Santos Laguna
3 : 0
Monterrey
L
Monterrey
1 : 0
Santos Laguna
L
Monterrey
4 : 2
Santos Laguna
L
