1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monterrey an expected 1.1 goals and Pachuca an expected 1.4 goals. Monterrey have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Pachuca at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
0:1
11%
1:0
9%
1:2
8.8%
0:0
7.8%
0:2
7.7%
2:1
7.2%
2:0
5.1%
2:2
5%
1:3
4.1%
0:3
3.6%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pachuca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Monterrey | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 4 |
| 18 | Points | 31 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Monterrey at Home
W4
D1
L1
(6 games)
Pachuca Away
W4
D0
L3
(7 games)
Recent Form
Monterrey
W
D
W
W
L
Pachuca
L
W
W
L
W
