1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.13
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mirassol an expected 2.1 goals and Internacional an expected 0.9 goals. Mirassol have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Internacional at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.3%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9.8%
1:1
9.2%
3:0
8%
3:1
7%
0:0
5%
0:1
4.3%
2:2
4.3%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
4%
4:1
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mirassol Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Mirassol | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 16 |
| 67 | Points | 44 |
| 47% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Mirassol at Home
W3
D3
L0
(6 games)
Internacional Away
W0
D2
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Mirassol
D
W
W
D
W
Internacional
L
L
L
D
D
