1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.03
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Manchester United an expected 2.0 goals and Bournemouth an expected 1.4 goals. Manchester United have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Bournemouth at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.5%
1:1
9.3%
2:0
7%
1:0
6.9%
2:2
6.4%
3:1
6.4%
1:2
6.3%
3:0
4.7%
0:1
4.6%
3:2
4.3%
0:0
3.4%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Manchester United | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 71 | Points | 57 |
| 53% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
Venue Form
Manchester United at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Bournemouth Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Manchester United
L
L
W
W
Bournemouth
W
D
W
W
