1
67%
Home Win
1.5
X
19%
Draw
5.22
2
14%
Away Win
7.01
xG Home
2.18
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Manchester City an expected 2.2 goals and Brentford an expected 0.9 goals. Manchester City have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Brentford at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.9%
1:0
10.1%
2:1
9.8%
1:1
9%
3:0
7.9%
3:1
7.1%
0:0
4.6%
2:2
4.4%
4:0
4.3%
0:1
4.1%
1:2
4.1%
4:1
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Manchester City | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 9 |
| 78 | Points | 53 |
| 61% | Win % | 37% |
| 2.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Manchester City at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Brentford Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Manchester City
W
W
W
W
Brentford
L
L
Head to Head
Manchester City
0 : 0
Brentford
D
Manchester City
2 : 0
Brentford
W
Brentford
0 : 1
Manchester City
W
