1
51%
Home Win
1.96
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
23%
Away Win
4.32
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Machida Zelvia an expected 1.5 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos an expected 0.9 goals. Machida Zelvia have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Yokohama F. Marinos at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13%
1:1
12.2%
2:0
9.9%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.5%
0:1
8%
1:2
5.7%
3:0
5%
3:1
4.7%
2:2
4.3%
0:2
3.7%
3:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Machida Zelvia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Machida Zelvia | Yokohama F. Marinos | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 15 |
| 60 | Points | 43 |
| 45% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Machida Zelvia at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Yokohama F. Marinos Away
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
Machida Zelvia
W
W
D
W
Yokohama F. Marinos
W
D
L
W
W
