1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.82
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Machida Zelvia an expected 1.8 goals and Nagoya Grampus an expected 0.9 goals. Machida Zelvia have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Nagoya Grampus at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.1%
2:0
11%
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.8%
0:0
6.6%
3:0
6.6%
0:1
5.9%
3:1
5.9%
1:2
4.8%
2:2
4.4%
4:0
3%
4:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Machida Zelvia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 16 |
| 60 | Points | 43 |
| 45% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Machida Zelvia at Home
W3
D2
L1
(6 games)
Nagoya Grampus Away
W2
D0
L4
(6 games)
Recent Form
Machida Zelvia
L
D
W
W
D
Nagoya Grampus
L
L
L
W
W
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 2
Machida Zelvia
D
Machida Zelvia
3 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
L
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 2
Machida Zelvia
W
