1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.10
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lyon an expected 2.1 goals and Nice an expected 0.8 goals. Lyon have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Nice at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.7%
1:0
11.1%
2:1
9.8%
1:1
9.3%
3:0
8.2%
3:1
6.9%
0:0
5.3%
0:1
4.4%
4:0
4.3%
2:2
4.1%
1:2
3.9%
4:1
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lyon Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Lyon | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 16 |
| 60 | Points | 32 |
| 53% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Lyon at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Nice Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lyon
W
W
W
Nice
L
D
D
