1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.71
xG Away
1.73
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lorient an expected 1.7 goals and Monaco an expected 1.7 goals. Lorient have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Monaco at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.5%
1:2
8.2%
2:1
8.1%
2:2
7%
0:1
5.5%
1:0
5.5%
0:2
4.8%
1:3
4.7%
2:0
4.7%
3:1
4.6%
2:3
4.1%
3:2
4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monaco Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Lorient | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 7 |
| 45 | Points | 54 |
| 32% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Lorient at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Monaco Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lorient
L
W
Monaco
W
D
D
