1
41%
Home Win
2.44
X
24%
Draw
4.25
2
35%
Away Win
2.82
xG Home
1.65
xG Away
1.52
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Livingston an expected 1.6 goals and Kilmarnock an expected 1.5 goals. Livingston have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Kilmarnock at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.6%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
8%
1:0
7%
2:2
6.6%
0:1
6.4%
2:0
5.7%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.8%
0:0
4.2%
1:3
4%
3:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kilmarnock Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Livingston | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 11 |
| 16 | Points | 28 |
| 3% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
Livingston at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Kilmarnock Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Livingston
D
Kilmarnock
W
D
W
L
Head to Head
Kilmarnock
2 : 0
Livingston
L
Livingston
1 : 1
Kilmarnock
D
Kilmarnock
2 : 2
Livingston
D
