1
51%
Home Win
1.98
X
24%
Draw
4.24
2
26%
Away Win
3.86
xG Home
1.75
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Liverpool an expected 1.7 goals and Nottingham Forest an expected 1.2 goals. Liverpool have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Nottingham Forest at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
2:1
9.6%
1:0
9.3%
2:0
8.1%
1:2
6.5%
0:1
6.3%
2:2
5.7%
3:1
5.6%
0:0
5.3%
3:0
4.7%
0:2
3.7%
3:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Liverpool Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Liverpool | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 16 |
| 60 | Points | 44 |
| 45% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Liverpool at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Nottingham Forest Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Liverpool
D
W
Nottingham Forest
W
W
