1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.89
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lille an expected 1.9 goals and Stade Brestois 29 an expected 0.9 goals. Lille have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Stade Brestois 29 at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11.6%
2:0
11%
1:1
10.5%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
6.9%
3:1
6.2%
0:0
6.1%
0:1
5.5%
1:2
4.7%
2:2
4.4%
4:0
3.3%
4:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Lille | Stade Brestois 29 | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 12 |
| 61 | Points | 39 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Lille at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Stade Brestois 29 Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Lille
W
D
D
Stade Brestois 29
L
W
L
L
D
