León FC vs Club América Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.02
xG Away 1.50
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 50%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives León FC an expected 1.0 goals and Club América an expected 1.5 goals. León FC have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Club América at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
0:1 12.1%
1:2 9.2%
0:2 9%
1:0 8.2%
0:0 8.1%
2:1 6.3%
2:2 4.7%
1:3 4.6%
0:3 4.5%
2:0 4.2%
2:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Club América Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

León FC Club América
10 League Position 8
22 Points 25
41% Win % 41%
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

León FC at Home
W3 D0 L2 (5 games)
60% win rate
Club América Away
W3 D2 L1 (6 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

León FC
W W L L W
Club América
W L D W D