1
33%
Home Win
3.06
X
25%
Draw
3.93
2
42%
Away Win
2.39
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
1.47
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lens an expected 1.3 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.5 goals. Lens have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Paris Saint Germain at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
9.5%
1:2
8.9%
1:0
8.2%
2:1
7.6%
0:2
7%
0:0
6.5%
2:2
5.6%
2:0
5.2%
1:3
4.3%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Lens | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 70 | Points | 76 |
| 65% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.18 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Lens at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Paris Saint Germain Away
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Lens
L
L
W
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
