1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.26
xG Away
1.47
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lens an expected 1.3 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.5 goals. Lens have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Paris Saint Germain at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
9.6%
1:2
8.9%
1:0
8.2%
2:1
7.6%
0:2
7%
0:0
6.5%
2:2
5.6%
2:0
5.2%
1:3
4.3%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Lens | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 70 | Points | 76 |
| 65% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.18 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Lens at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Paris Saint Germain Away
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Lens
L
L
W
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
W
W
