1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.34
xG Away
0.59
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lens an expected 2.3 goals and Nantes an expected 0.6 goals. Lens have a 77% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Nantes at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
14.6%
1:0
12.5%
3:0
11.4%
2:1
8.6%
1:1
7.4%
3:1
6.7%
4:0
6.6%
0:0
5.4%
4:1
3.9%
0:1
3.2%
2:2
2.6%
1:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lens Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 77% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.3 |
| Market Odds | 1.38 |
Team Comparison
| Lens | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 17 |
| 70 | Points | 23 |
| 65% | Win % | 15% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
Venue Form
Lens at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Nantes Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Lens
L
L
W
Nantes
L
L
L
D
