1
66%
Home Win
1.51
X
19%
Draw
5.29
2
15%
Away Win
6.74
xG Home
2.23
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lens an expected 2.2 goals and Lorient an expected 1.0 goals. Lens have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Lorient at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.3%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
9.2%
1:1
8.8%
3:0
7.7%
3:1
7.3%
2:2
4.7%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
4.2%
0:0
4.1%
4:1
4.1%
0:1
4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lens Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Lens | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 10 |
| 70 | Points | 45 |
| 65% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Lens at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Lorient Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lens
L
W
Lorient
W
D
D
